One day,a tree on the Lakewood Golf Course was hit by lightning.The following weekend,Galen continues his golf game near that tree during a thunderstorm because he is certain that lightning will not strike there twice.Galen's decision is based on ____.
A) gambler's fallacy
B) probability heuristic
C) loss aversion
D) multi-attribute decision making

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

Galen's decision is based on the gambler's fallacy, which is the belief that an event is less likely to occur if it has already occurred recently. Galen believes that since the tree was already struck by lightning, it is unlikely to happen again in the same spot. However, this belief is incorrect, as lightning can strike the same spot multiple times.

One Day,a Tree on the Lakewood Golf Course Was Hit