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Suppose a Plot of Sales Data Over Time Appears to Follow

Question 5

Multiple Choice

Suppose a plot of sales data over time appears to follow an S-shape as illustrated on the next page. Suppose a plot of sales data over time appears to follow an S-shape as illustrated on the next page.   Which of the following is likely that the best forecasting functional form to use for sales data above? A)  A linear trend, Sales = a + bT B)  A quadratic shape in T, using T-squared as another variable, Sales = a + bT + cT<sup>2</sup>. C)  A semi-log form as sales appear to be growing at a constant percentage rate, Ln Sales = a + bT D)  A cubic shape in T, using T-squared and T-cubed as variables, Sales = a + bT + cT<sup>2</sup> + dT<sup>3</sup>. E)  A quadratic shape in T and T-squared as variables, Sales = a + bT + cT<sup>2</sup> Which of the following is likely that the best forecasting functional form to use for sales data above?


A) A linear trend, Sales = a + bT
B) A quadratic shape in T, using T-squared as another variable, Sales = a + bT + cT2.
C) A semi-log form as sales appear to be growing at a constant percentage rate, Ln Sales = a + bT
D) A cubic shape in T, using T-squared and T-cubed as variables, Sales = a + bT + cT2 + dT3.
E) A quadratic shape in T and T-squared as variables, Sales = a + bT + cT2

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