Suppose a firm has $50 million to invest in a new market.Given market uncertainties,the firm forecasts a high-scenario where the present value of the investment is $200 million and a low-scenario where the present value of the investment is $20 million.Suppose that by waiting a year,the firm can learn with certainty which scenario will arise.Assume a 10% annual discount rate.If the firm waits one year and learns that the high-scenario will happen,how much has the firm increased its NPV over if it had been forced to make the investment decision solely on the basis of its current,uncertain assessment of demand?
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