An expert may become a victim of an illusory correlation if he or she
A) remembers only the cases where his judgment was in error
B) carefully avoids following up predictions to avoid bias
C) remembers successful predictions but forgets cases where the predictions were in error
D) doesn't identify closely enough with the person about whom the prediction is made

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

An illusory correlation occurs when someone incorrectly believes there is a relationship between two events, often because they remember instances that fit their belief while forgetting those that don't. In this case, remembering successful predictions but forgetting the unsuccessful ones would lead to an overestimation of one's predictive accuracy, thus creating an illusory correlation between one's predictions and outcomes.

An Expert May Become a Victim of an Illusory Correlation