Congressional incumbents tend to have a low chance of reelection.

Name: Congressional incumbents tend to have a low chance of reelection.
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Congressional incumbents actually have a high chance of reelection, with incumbency rates averaging around 90% for House incumbents and around 80% for Senate incumbents. This is due to factors such as name recognition, fundraising advantages, and the power of party loyalty among voters.

Congressional Incumbents Tend to Have a Low Chance of Reelection