Autumn has been figure skating since she was five years old. She has never placed higher than third in any of the competitions she has been in, but she is still convinced that she will be able to become a professional figure skater in a few years. Her coach and her parents have tried to tell her that not many people make it as professional skaters, but Autumn is convinced that she can beat the odds. What is Autumn doing in this case?

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

Autumn is ignoring the base rates of success in professional figure skating. She is convinced that she will be able to become a professional figure skater despite the fact that very few people actually make it to that level.

Autumn Has Been Figure Skating Since She Was Five Years