Which heuristic is reflected in our tendency to overestimate the probability of improbable events

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The availability heuristic is the tendency to judge the likelihood of an event based on how easily it comes to mind. Rare or unusual events are more memorable and thus more available in our minds, causing us to overestimate their probability. This is a common cognitive bias seen in gambling, for example, where people may believe that a certain number or outcome is "due" even if it has a statistically low chance of occurring.

Which Heuristic Is Reflected in Our Tendency to Overestimate the Probability