Reed is an avid basketball fan who is excited by the fact that the local professional team has won the first five games of the season.Based on this early performance,Reed is looking forward to a record-breaking season.Why does this faulty logic illustrate an error in statistical reasoning

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The faulty logic in Reed's reasoning is assuming that a small sample size of only five games can reliably predict the team's long-term performance for the entire season, which is not necessarily accurate. This illustrates an error in statistical reasoning, as small samples cannot be expected to provide reliable indications of long-run performance. Option A is not relevant as it pertains to the relationship between early and later performance, which is not necessarily the issue in this scenario. Option B is incorrect, as small samples are typically less accurate than larger samples. Option D is incorrect, as winning streaks can vary in length and are not enough to accurately predict a team's long-term performance.

Reed Is an Avid Basketball Fan Who Is Excited by the Fact