Imagine you read a brief newspaper article that states research has shown that eating grilled-cheese sandwiches increases the risk of being struck by lightning by 25 percent.In evaluating whether you should give up the sandwiches,what is the one piece of additional information that would be most useful to you
A) Was the research conducted by a psychologist or medical doctor?
B) Would you survive the lightning strike?
C) What do scientists think is the causal factor that relates grilled-cheese sandwiches and lightning strikes?
D) What is the base rate of lightning strikes, and is this increase meaningful?
Correct Answer:
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