Calculation of Bankruptcy Probability Suppose a linear probability model you have developed finds there are two factors influencing the past bankruptcy behavior of firms: the debt ratio and the profit margin. Based on past bankruptcy experience, the linear probability model is estimated as: PDi = .20 (debt ratio) + .15 (profit margin)
A firm you are thinking of lending to has a debt ratio of 55 percent and a profit margin of 10 percent. Calculate the firm's expected probability of default, or bankruptcy.
A) 12.5%
B) 10.0%
C) 1.65%
D) 10.25%
Correct Answer:
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