Assume that the returns from an asset are normally distributed.The average annual return for the asset is 18.1 percent and the standard deviation of the returns is 32.5 percent.What is the approximate probability that your money will triple in value in a single year?

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The upper tail of the 99 percent range = 0.181 + (3 × 0.325) = 1.156 = 115.6 percent, which is less than the 200 percent required to triple your money. Thus, the probability of occurrence is less than 0.5 percent.

Assume That the Returns from an Asset Are Normally Distributed