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Mary Noticed That Old Coins Are Smoother and More Worn r20.442n31r0.665k1 or 0.050 Dep. Var. Weight (gm) \begin{array} { c c r l } r ^ { 2 } & 0.442 & n & 31 \\r & - 0.665 & k & 1 \\\text { or } & 0.050 & \text { Dep. Var. Weight (gm) }\end{array}

Question 133

Essay

Mary noticed that old coins are smoother and more worn. She weighed 31 nickels and recorded their ages, and then performed a simple regression to estimate the model Weight = β0 + β1 Age, where weight is the weight of the coin in grams and Age is the age of the coin in years. Her results are shown below. Write a brief analysis of these results, using what you have learned in this chapter. Make a prediction of Weight when Age = 10 and also when Age = 20. What does this tell you? Is the intercept meaningful in this regression?
Regression Analysis
r20.442n31r0.665k1 or 0.050 Dep. Var. Weight (gm) \begin{array} { c c r l } r ^ { 2 } & 0.442 & n & 31 \\r & - 0.665 & k & 1 \\\text { or } & 0.050 & \text { Dep. Var. Weight (gm) }\end{array}

ANOVA table
 Source  SS  df MSFp-value  Regression 0.058210.058222.994.48E05 Residual 0.0734290.0025 Total 0.131630\begin{array}{rcccrr}\hline \text { Source } & \text { SS } & \text { df } & M S & F & p \text {-value } \\\hline \text { Regression } & 0.0582 & 1 & 0.0582 & 22.99 & 4.48 \mathrm{E}-05 \\\text { Residual } & 0.0734 & 29 & 0.0025 & & \\\hline \text { Total } & 0.1316 & 30 & &\end{array}


Regression output                                                 confidence interval
 variables  coefficients  std. emor f(df=29) p-value 95% lower 95% upper  Intercept 5.02100.0137367.7409.33E554.99315.0489 Age (Yrs) 0.00400.00084.7954.48E050.00570.0023\begin{array}{crrrrrr}\hline \text { variables } & \text { coefficients } & \text { std. emor } & f(d f=29) & \text { p-value } & 95 \% \text { lower } & 95 \% \text { upper } \\\hline \text { Intercept } & 5.0210 & 0.0137 & 367.740 & 9.33 \mathrm{E}-55 & 4.9931 & 5.0489 \\\text { Age (Yrs) } & -0.0040 & 0.0008 & -4.795 & 4.48 \mathrm{E}-05 & -0.0057 & -0.0023 \\\hline\end{array}

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It is reasonable to postulate a causal r...

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