A common problem found in attempting to predict the future is
A) being oblivious to or unimpressed by many of the social changes.
B) looking too far into the future instead of looking backward for clues.
C) the "rearview-mirror effect" in which recent events occupy too much of our thinking about the future.
D) being oblivious to or unimpressed by many of the social changes and the "rearview-mirror effect" in which recent events occupy too much of our thinking about the future are correct.

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

Both options A and C are valid reasons why predicting the future can be a challenge. People may not be aware of or underestimate the impact of social changes, and recent events may cloud their judgment. Therefore, choice D, which combines both options, is the best answer. Looking too far into the future, as in option B, may not necessarily be a problem if there is sufficient evidence and data to support it.

A Common Problem Found in Attempting to Predict the Future