Decision Trees. Arnie Becker, an attorney with Dewey, Cheetum & Howe in Los Angeles, California, must serve a subpoena to an individual in New York, New York by 10:00 a.m. tomorrow morning. If the subpoena is delivered late, Becker stands to lose $5,000 in fees. The subpoena can be delivered by mail at a cost of $25, or by courier at a cost of $225. Based on passed experience, Becker assigns a 99% change of on-time delivery using the courier service. Because Express Mail is a relatively new service, Becker does not know the probability of on-time delivery using this service.
A. Construct a decision tree for this problem and calculate the minimum probability of on-time delivery for Express Mail that would make Becker indifferent to the two delivery services.

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The Answer of Decision Trees. Arnie Becker, an attorney with Dewey, Cheetum & Howe in Los Angeles, California, must serve a subpoena to an individual in New York, New York by 10:00 a.m. tomorrow morning. If the subpoena is delivered late, Becker stands to lose $5,000 in fees. The subpoena can be delivered by mail at a cost of $25, or by courier at a cost of $225. Based on passed experience, Becker assigns a 99% change of on-time delivery using the courier service. Because Express Mail is a relatively new service, Becker does not know the probability of on-time delivery using this service.
A. Construct a decision tree for this problem and calculate the minimum probability of on-time delivery for Express Mail that would make Becker indifferent to the two delivery services.