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An Investor Is Considering 4 Investments,A,B,C,D

Question 65

Essay

An investor is considering 4 investments,A,B,C,D.The payoff from each investment is a function of the economic climate over the next 2 years.The economy can be weak or strong.The investor has estimated the probability of a declining economy at 30% and an expanding economy at 70%.Draw the decision tree for this problem and determine the correct decision for this investor based on the expected monetary value criteria.
Payoff Matrix Economy
 Investment  Weak  Strong  A 30120 B 2060 C 3035 D 1530\begin{array} { c c c } \text { Investment } & \text { Weak } & \text { Strong } \\\hline \text { A } & - 30 & 120 \\\text { B } & 20 & 60 \\\text { C } & 30 & 35 \\\text { D } & 15 & 30\end{array}

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