Does the answer to Question 72 match your intuition? Explain why or why not.
In this example we are estimating the net present value of introducing a new drug to market.We have the following information about the market:
· The market size is 1,000,000 and is projected to grow at an average 5%,with a standard deviation of 1%,over the next ten years.
· The market share captured at entry is projected to be between 20% and 70%,with most likely value 40%.
· Three competitors may enter the market in the future,with each one having a 40% probability of entry per year.
· For each new competitor per year,the market share goes down by 20%.
· The marginal profit per unit is $1.80.
· We want to evaluate the project over ten years,using a discount rate of 10%.

Question

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The Answer of Does the answer to Question 72 match your intuition? Explain why or why not.
In this example we are estimating the net present value of introducing a new drug to market.We have the following information about the market:
· The market size is 1,000,000 and is projected to grow at an average 5%,with a standard deviation of 1%,over the next ten years.
· The market share captured at entry is projected to be between 20% and 70%,with most likely value 40%.
· Three competitors may enter the market in the future,with each one having a 40% probability of entry per year.
· For each new competitor per year,the market share goes down by 20%.
· The marginal profit per unit is $1.80.
· We want to evaluate the project over ten years,using a discount rate of 10%.

Does the Answer to Question 72 Match Your Intuition? Explain