Instruction 14-4
A contractor developed a multiplicative time-series model to forecast the number of contracts in future quarters,using quarterly data on number of contracts during the 3-year period from 2008 to 2010.The following is the resulting regression equation:
Where
is the estimated number of contracts in a quarter
X is the coded quarterly value with X = 0 in the first quarter of 2008.
Q1 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the first quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q2 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the second quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q3 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the third quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
-Referring to Instruction 14-4,the best interpretation of the coefficient of X (0.117) in the regression equation is
A) the quarterly compound growth rate in contracts is around 30.92%.
B) the quarterly compound growth rate in contracts is around 11.7%.
C) the annually compound growth rate in contracts is around 30.92%.
D) the annually compound growth rate in contracts is around 11.7%.
Correct Answer:
Verified
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