Instruction 14-5
A local store developed a multiplicative time-series model to forecast its revenues in future quarters,using quarterly data on its revenues during the 4-year period from 2005 to 2009.The following is the resulting regression equation:
log 10 = 6.102 + 0.012 X - 0.129 Q1 - 0.054 Q2 + 0.098 Q3
Where
is the estimated number of contracts in a quarter
X is the coded quarterly value with X = 0 in the first quarter of 2005.
Q1 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the first quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q2 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the second quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q3 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the third quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
-Referring to Instruction 14-5,to obtain a forecast for the third quarter of 2010 using the model,which of the following sets of values should be used in the regression equation?
A) X = 22,Q1 = 0,Q2 = 0,Q3 = 1
B) X = 23,Q1 = 0,Q2 = 0,Q3 = 0
C) X = 23,Q1 = 0,Q2 = 0,Q3 = 1
D) X = 22,Q1 = 0,Q2 = 0,Q3 = 0
Correct Answer:
Verified
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