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A Basketball Player Usually Makes 58% of His Free Shots

Question 173

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A basketball player usually makes 58% of his free shots.Tonight he made 10 shots in a row.Is this evidence that he is on a winning streak? That is,is this streak so unusual that it means the probability he makes a shot must have changed? Explain.


A) No; if his success rate were still 58%,he would have a 5.8% chance of making 10 shots in a row.That's not a highly unusual result.
B) Yes; if his success rate were still 58%,he would have only a 5.8% chance of making 10 shots in a row.That's an unusual result.
C) Yes; if his success rate were still 58%,he would have only a 0.2% chance of making 10 shots in a row.That's an unusual result.
D) Yes; if his success rate were still 58%,he would have only a 0.4% chance of making 10 shots in a row.That's an unusual result.
E) No; if his success rate were still 58%,he would have a 0.4% chance of making 10 shots in a row.That's not an unusual result.

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