Dollar Department Stores has just acquired the chain of Wenthrope and Sons Custom Jewelers.Dollar has received an offer from Harris Diamonds to purchase the Wenthrope store on Grove Street for $120,000.Dollar has determined probability estimates of the store's future profitability,based on economic outcomes,as: P($80,000)= 0.2,P($100,000)= 0.3,P($120,000)= 0.1,and P($140,000)= 0.4.
a.Should Dollar sell the store on Grove Street?
b.What is the EVPI?
c.Dollar can have an economic forecast performed,costing $10,000,that produces indicators I1 and I2,for which P(I1 | 80,000)= 0.1; P(I1 | 100,000)= 0.2; P(I1 | 120,000)= 0.6; P(I1 | 140,000)= 0.3.Should Dollar purchase the forecast?
Correct Answer:
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