Chez Paul is contemplating either opening another restaurant or expanding its existing location.The payoff table for these two decisions is as follows:
Paul has calculated the indifference probability for the lottery having a payoff of $160,000 with probability p and -$80,000 with probability (1 -p)as follows:
a.Is Paul a risk avoider,a risk taker,or risk neutral?
b.Suppose Paul has defined the utility of -$80,000 to be 0 and the utility of $160,000 to be 80.What would be the utility values for -$40,000,$20,000,and $100,000 based on the indifference probabilities?
c.Suppose P(s1)= 0.4,P(s2)= 0.3,and P(s3)= 0.3.Which decision should Paul make? Compare with the decision using the expected value approach.
Correct Answer:
Verified
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