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A Politician Claims 55% of the Voters Will Vote for Her

Question 94

Essay

A politician claims 55% of the voters will vote for her in an upcoming election. An independent watchdog organization queried a random sample of 500 likely voters, of whom only 249 said they would vote for the politician in question. Do the results of this sample support the politician's claim? [Hint: Binomial distributions with p near 50% are quite mound-shaped.]

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No, because 249 is more than 2...

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