a. If corporate downsizing and lack of job security cause consumers to spend less and save
more, what will be the impact on the exchange rate and trade balance? Use the long-run
model of a small open economy to illustrate graphically the impact of this decline in
consumer confidence on the exchange rate and the trade balance. Assume the country starts
from a position of trade balance, i.e, exports equal imports. Be sure to label:
i. the axes
ii the curves
iii. the initial equilibrium values
iv. the direction the curves shift
v. the new Long-run equilibrium values
b. Based on your graphical analysis, explain the predicted impact of a decline in consumer
confidence on the exchange rate and the U.S. trade balance.
Correct Answer:
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b. The increase in privat...
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