Miles is considering buying a new pickup truck for his lawn service firm.The economy in town seems to be growing,and he is wondering whether he should opt for a subcompact,compact,or full-size pickup truck.The smaller truck would have better fuel economy,but would sacrifice capacity and some durability.A friend at the Bureau of Economic Research told him that there is a 30% chance of lower gas prices in his area this year,a 20% chance of higher gas prices,and a 50% chance that gas prices will stay roughly unchanged.Based on this information,Miles has developed a decision table that indicates the profit amount he would end up with after a year for each combination of truck and gas prices.
Calculate the expected monetary value for each decision alternative.Which decision yields the highest EMV?

Question

Miles is considering buying a new pickup truck for his lawn service firm.The economy in town seems to be growing,and he is wondering whether he should opt for a subcompact,compact,or full-size pickup truck.The smaller truck would have better fuel economy,but would sacrifice capacity and some durability.A friend at the Bureau of Economic Research told him that there is a 30% chance of lower gas prices in his area this year,a 20% chance of higher gas prices,and a 50% chance that gas prices will stay roughly unchanged.Based on this information,Miles has developed a decision table that indicates the profit amount he would end up with after a year for each combination of truck and gas prices.
  Calculate the expected monetary value for each decision alternative.Which decision yields the highest EMV?

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The Answer of Miles is considering buying a new pickup truck for his lawn service firm.The economy in town seems to be growing,and he is wondering whether he should opt for a subcompact,compact,or full-size pickup truck.The smaller truck would have better fuel economy,but would sacrifice capacity and some durability.A friend at the Bureau of Economic Research told him that there is a 30% chance of lower gas prices in his area this year,a 20% chance of higher gas prices,and a 50% chance that gas prices will stay roughly unchanged.Based on this information,Miles has developed a decision table that indicates the profit amount he would end up with after a year for each combination of truck and gas prices.
  Calculate the expected monetary value for each decision alternative.Which decision yields the highest EMV?

Miles Is Considering Buying a New Pickup Truck for His