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Commercial Real Estate Analysis
Quiz 7: Real Estate as an Investment: Some Background Information
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Question 1
Essay
Consider two portfolios. Portfolio A has an expected return of 12% and volatility of 11%. Portfolio B has expected return of 9% and volatility of 6%. The interest rate on a riskfree investment is 6% which can be held either long or short). Which of these two risky portfolios is definitely not on the efficient frontier? Show your work for full credit.)
Question 2
Multiple Choice
Regarding time-series second moments of periodic investment returns data, relevant to portfolio investment analysis:
Question 3
Multiple Choice
According to Portfolio Theory if you do not want to bear much risk:
Question 4
Essay
Suppose the riskfree rate is 3% and the market risk premium is 6% and a certain asset has a beta of 0.5. The asset in question is expected to produce a perpetuity of net cash flow to its investors equal to $1,000,000 per year. Suppose the CAPM is "true", and disequilibrium in asset market prices does not endure beyond i.e., "gets corrected" within) one year. Should you buy this asset if you can get it for a current price of $15,000,000? What would be the NPV of such an acquisition, and what would be the minimum expected return on a one-year investment in this asset at that price, and how much of that return if any) would be considered "super-normal" i.e., more than what is warranted by the amount of risk in the investment)?
Question 5
Multiple Choice
The traditional "complaint" about applying the CAPM to real estate is:
Question 6
Essay
In portfolio theory, what is the definition of an "optimal" portfolio of risky assets if we assume that no such thing as a riskless asset exists? That is, what are the characteristics that define, or the criteria that determine, such a portfolio?) Now answer this same question under the assumption that there does exist a riskless asset and state how you could identify the optimal portfolio. Be complete, defining any specialized terms you employ.
Question 7
Multiple Choice
Which of the following is true about analytical tools useful in "strategic" long horizon, big picture) and "tactical" shorter horizon, more specific) investment policy analysis for portfolio management?
Question 8
Essay
Suppose you regress a time-series of appraisal-based index periodic returns onto both contemporaneous and lagged securities market returns that do not suffer from lagging or measurement errors. That is, you perform the following regression, where rM,t is the accurate market return in period t and r*t is the appraisal-based real estate return in period t:
r
t
∗
=
α
+
β
0
r
M
t
+
β
1
r
M
t
−
1
+
β
2
r
M
,
t
t
−
2
+
β
3
r
M
,
t
t
−
3
+
ε
t
r_{t}^{*}=\alpha+\beta_{0} r_{M t}+\beta_{1} r_{M t-1}+\beta_{2} r_{M,t t-2}+\beta_{3} r_{M,t t-3}+\varepsilon_{t}
r
t
∗
​
=
α
+
β
0
​
r
Mt
​
+
β
1
​
r
Mt
−
1
​
+
β
2
​
r
M
,
tt
−
2
​
+
β
3
​
r
M
,
tt
−
3
​
+
ε
t
​
The resulting contemporaneous and lagged beta values are:
B
^
0
=
0.12
B
^
1
=
0.20
B
^
2
=
0.15
B
^
3
=
0.02
\begin{array}{l}\hat {B}_{0}=0.12 \\ \hat {B}_{1}=0.20 \\ \hat {B}_{2}=0.15 \\ \hat {B}_{3}=0.02\end{array}
B
^
0
​
=
0.12
B
^
1
​
=
0.20
B
^
2
​
=
0.15
B
^
3
​
=
0.02
​
What is your best estimate of the true long-run beta between real estate and the securities market index?
Question 9
Multiple Choice
In a world where riskless borrowing or lending is possible at 6%, if the expected return to the optimal risky asset portfolio is 12%, and you want a target return of 15%, what must you do?