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Stats Data and Models Global
Quiz 5: From the Data at Hand to the World at Large
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Question 41
Essay
The International Olympic Committee states that the female participation in the 2004 Summer Olympic Games was 42%, even with new sports such as weight lifting, hammer throw, and modern pentathlon being added to the Games. Broadcasting and clothing companies want to change their advertising and marketing strategies if the female participation increases at the next games. An independent sports expert arranged for a random sample of pre-Olympic exhibitions. The sports expert reported that 202 of 454 athletes in the random sample were women. Is this strong evidence that the participation rate may increase? -Explain what your P-value means in this context.
Question 42
Essay
A report on health care in the US said that 28% of Americans have experienced times when they haven't been able to afford medical care. A news organization randomly sampled 801 black Americans, of whom 38% reported that there had been times in the last year when they had not been able to afford medical care. Does this indicate that this problem is more severe among black Americans? -Was your test one-tail upper tail, one-tail lower tail, or two-tail? Explain why you chose that kind of test in this situation.
Question 43
Essay
Approval rating A newspaper article reported that a poll based on a sample of 1150 residents of a state showed that the state's Governor's job approval rating stood at 58%. They claimed a margin of error of ±3%. What level of confidence were the pollsters using?
Question 44
Essay
A company manufacturing computer chips finds that 8% of all chips manufactured are defective. Management is concerned that employee inattention is partially responsible for the high defect rate. In an effort to decrease the percentage of defective chips, management decides to offer incentives to employees who have lower defect rates on their shifts. The incentive program is instituted for one month. If successful, the company will continue with the incentive program. -Write the company's null and alternative hypotheses.
Question 45
Essay
A company manufacturing computer chips finds that 8% of all chips manufactured are defective. Management is concerned that employee inattention is partially responsible for the high defect rate. In an effort to decrease the percentage of defective chips, management decides to offer incentives to employees who have lower defect rates on their shifts. The incentive program is instituted for one month. If successful, the company will continue with the incentive program. -In this context describe a Type I error and the impact such an error would have on the company.
Question 46
Essay
Graduation tests Many states mandate tests that have to be passed in order for students to graduate with a high school diploma. A local school superintendent believes that after-school tutoring will improve the scores of students in his district on the state's graduation test. A tutor agrees to work with 15 students for a month before the superintendent will approach the school board about implementing an after-school tutoring program. The after-school tutoring program will be implemented if student scores increase by more than 20 points. The superintendent will test a hypothesis using α = 0.02 . a. Write appropriate hypotheses (in words and in symbols). b. In this context, which do you consider to be more serious - a Type I or a Type II error? Explain. c. After this trial produced inconclusive results, the superintendent decided to test the after-school tutoring program again with another group of students. Describe two changes he could make in the trial to increase the power of the test, and explain the disadvantages of each.
Question 47
Essay
Herpetologists (snake specialists) found that a certain species of reticulated python have an average length of 20.5 feet with a standard deviation of 2.3 feet. The scientists collect a random sample of 30 adult pythons and measure their lengths. In their sample the mean length was 19.5 feet long. One of the herpetologists fears that pollution might be affecting the natural growth of the pythons. Do you think this sample result is unusually small? Explain.
Question 48
Essay
A state's Department of Education reports that 12% of the high school students in that state attend private high schools. The State University wonders if the percentage is the same in their applicant pool. Admissions officers plan to check a random sample of the over 10,000 applications on file to estimate the percentage of students applying for admission who attend private schools. -Explain what 90% confidence means in this context.
Question 49
Essay
Approval rating The President's job approval rating is always a hot topic. Your local paper conducts a poll of 100 randomly selected adults to determine the President's job approval rating. A CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll conducts a poll of 1010 randomly selected adults. Which poll is more likely to report that the President's approval rating is below 50%, assuming that his actual approval rating is 54%? Explain.
Question 50
Essay
According to the 2010 census, 20.3% of the population of the United States (ages 5 and up) live in a home in which a language other than English is spoken. Advocates for providing government programs to assist non-English speakers are convinced that, with the increasing non-white population in the United States, this proportion has probably increased. They plan to conduct a survey, and if they find the proportion of people who live in such homes has increased, they will organize a campaign to increase government investment in these assistance programs. -Based on data that were collected during the survey, the advocate group found that a 99% confidence interval for the proportion of all U.S. residents who live in a home in which a language other than English is spoken (19.8%, 25.2%). What conclusion should they reach about the population? Explain.
Question 51
Essay
Pumpkin pie A can of pumpkin pie mix contains a mean of 30 ounces and a standard deviation of 2 ounces. The contents of the cans are normally distributed. What is the probability that four randomly selected cans of pumpkin pie mix contain a total of more than 126 ounces?
Question 52
Essay
A professor at a large university believes that students take an average of 15 credit hours per term. A random sample of 24 students in her class of 250 students reported the following number of credit hours that they were taking:
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\begin{array} { | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | } \hline 12 & 13 & 14 & 14 & 15 & 15 & 15 & 16 & 16 & 16 & 16 & 16 \\\hline 17 & 17 & 17 & 18 & 18 & 18 & 18 & 19 & 19 & 19 & 20 & 21 \\\hline\end{array}
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-Does this sample indicate that students are taking more credit hours than the professor believes? Test an appropriate hypothesis and state your conclusion.
Question 53
Essay
According to the 2010 census, 20.3% of the population of the United States (ages 5 and up) live in a home in which a language other than English is spoken. Advocates for providing government programs to assist non-English speakers are convinced that, with the increasing non-white population in the United States, this proportion has probably increased. They plan to conduct a survey, and if they find the proportion of people who live in such homes has increased, they will organize a campaign to increase government investment in these assistance programs. -In this context describe a Type II error and the impact such an error would have on this group's efforts.
Question 54
Essay
A report on health care in the US said that 28% of Americans have experienced times when they haven't been able to afford medical care. A news organization randomly sampled 801 black Americans, of whom 38% reported that there had been times in the last year when they had not been able to afford medical care. Does this indicate that this problem is more severe among black Americans? -Test an appropriate hypothesis and state your conclusion. (Make sure to check any necessary conditions and to state a conclusion in the context of the problem.)
Question 55
Essay
A statistics professor asked her students whether or not they were registered to vote. In a sample of 50 of her students (randomly sampled from her 700 students), 35 said they were registered to vote. -What is the probability that the true proportion of the professor's students who were registered to vote is in your confidence interval?
Question 56
Essay
Explain what your P-value means in this context.
Question 57
Essay
Depression A recent psychiatric study from the University of Southampton observed a higher incidence of depression among women whose birth weight was less than 6.6 pounds than in women whose birth weight was over 6.6 pounds. Based on a P-value of 0.0248 the researchers concluded there was evidence that low birth weights may be a risk factor for susceptibility to depression. Explain in context what the reported P-value means.
Question 58
Essay
Egg weights The weights of hens' eggs are normally distributed with a mean of 56 grams and a standard deviation of 4.8 grams. What is the probability that a dozen randomly selected eggs weighs over 690 grams?