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Kyle and Stan Are Playing a Coin-Tossing Game Where Each

Question 128

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Kyle and Stan are playing a coin-tossing game where each player, in turn, tosses a fair coin ten times consecutively. The winner of the game is the player who tosses the most consecutive tails. Kyle decides to go first and tosses tails five times in a row. Explain how the hot-hand fallacy can affect Kyle's assessment of the probability that he will toss tails on his sixth toss.

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The coin that Kyle is tossing is a fair ...

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