The day after the election, Josephine says that she knew all along who the winner would be. Although it is possible that she had some special insight into the election, it is more likely that Josephine is:
A) avoiding loss.
B) exhibiting confirmation bias.
C) exaggerating the improbable.
D) exhibiting hindsight bias.

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

Josephine is exhibiting hindsight bias, which is the tendency to believe, after an event has occurred, that one would have predicted or expected the outcome beforehand. She may be overestimating the extent to which she actually predicted the election outcome.

The Day After the Election, Josephine Says That She Knew