Suppose that you are watching television just after a Congressional election, and your favorite candidate has won-although the election was close. You say to a friend, "Well, I was really quite confident that he would win." This might be an example of

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This is an example of the hindsight bias, which is the tendency to believe, after an event has occurred, that one would have predicted or expected the outcome. Saying you were confident your candidate would win after the fact is a classic example of feeling like you "knew it all along" once the results are known.

Suppose That You Are Watching Television Just After a Congressional