Solved

A Payoff Table Is Shown Below The Following Prior Probabilities Are Assigned to the States of }\\\text

Question 51

Essay

A payoff table is shown below:  Alternative  State of Nature a1a2a3a4s1s270462435\begin{array}{ll}&\text { Alternative }\\\text { State of Nature }&\quad a_1\quad\quad a_2\quad\quad a_3\quad\quad a_4\\\begin{array}{ll}s_1\\s_2\end{array}&\begin{array}{|llll|}\hline 7\quad\quad&0\quad\quad&4\quad&6 \\2&4&3&5\\\hline\end{array}\end{array}
The following prior probabilities are assigned to the states of nature:
P( s1s _ { 1 } ) = 0.3, P( S2S _ { 2 } ) = 0.7.
a. Calculate the expected monetary value for each act with present information. What decision should be made using the EMV criterion?
b. Convert the payoff table to an opportunity loss table.
c. Calculate the expected opportunity loss for each act with present information. What decision should be made using the EOL criterion?
d. What is the expected payoff with perfect information?
e. What is the expected value of perfect information?

Correct Answer:

verifed

Verified

a. EMV ( blured image ) = (0.3)(7) + (0.7)(2) = 3.5....

View Answer

Unlock this answer now
Get Access to more Verified Answers free of charge

Related Questions

Unlock this Answer For Free Now!

View this answer and more for free by performing one of the following actions

qr-code

Scan the QR code to install the App and get 2 free unlocks

upload documents

Unlock quizzes for free by uploading documents