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Quiz 4: Randomness and Probability
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Question 81
Essay
A manufacturing firm orders computer chips from three different companies: 10% from Company A; 20% from Company B; and 70% from Company C. Some of the computer chips that are ordered are defective: 4% of chips from Company A are defective; 2% of chips from Company B are defective; and 0.5% of chips from Company C are defective. A worker at the manufacturing firm discovers that a randomly selected computer chip is defective. What is the probability that the computer chip came from Company B? Show your work.
Question 82
Essay
Ten little monkeys were jumping on a bed. There is a 35% chance that one will fall off and bump his head. In the bedroom next door, five kangaroos were jumping on a bed. Being more adept at jumping, there is only a 20% that a kangaroo will fall off the bed. -What are the chances that if the monkeys jump every day for a week that at least one will fall off of the bed?
Question 83
Essay
For purposes of making budget plans for staffing, a college reviewed student's year in school and area of study. Of the students, 22.5% are seniors, 25% are juniors, 25% are sophomores, and the rest are freshmen. Also, 40% of the seniors major in the area of humanities, as did 39% of the juniors, 40% of the sophomores, and 36% of the freshmen. What is the probability that a randomly selected humanities major is a junior? Show your work.
Question 84
Essay
Heights of adults According to the National Health Survey, heights of adults may have a Normal model with mean heights of 69.1" for men and 64.0" for women. The respective standard deviations are 2.8" and 2.5." a. Based on this information, i. how much taller are men than women, on average? ii. what is the standard deviation for the difference in men's and women's heights? b. Assume that women date men without considering the height of the man (i.e., that the heights of the couple are independent). What is the probability that a woman dates a man shorter than she is?
Question 85
Essay
Traffic accidents Police reports about the traffic accidents they investigated last year indicated that 40% of the accidents involved speeding, 25% involved alcohol, and 10% involved both risk factors. a. What is the probability that an accident involved neither alcohol nor speed? b. Do these two risk factors appear to be independent? Explain.
Question 86
Essay
What is the probability that none of the first four customers gets a discount over 20%?
Question 87
Essay
Five
Question 88
Essay
A fast food restaurant just leased a new freezer and food fryer for three years. The service contract for the freezer offers unlimited repairs for a fee of $125 a year plus a $35 service charge for each repair needed. The restaurant's research suggested that during a given year 80% of these freezers need no repairs, 11% needed to be serviced once, 5% twice, 4% three times, and none required more than three repairs. -Find the standard deviation of the number of repairs each year.
Question 89
Essay
Many school administrators watch enrollment numbers for answers to questions parents ask. Some parents wondered if preferring a particular science course is related to the student's preference in foreign language. Students were surveyed to establish their preference in science and foreign language courses. Does it appear that preferences in science and foreign language are independent? Explain.
Question 90
Essay
Cigarette taxes New York public health officials report that currently 22% of adults smoke (Ithaca Journal, 1/12/04). They hope that newly increased state cigarette taxes will reduce this rate. They plan to check in December by selecting a random sample of 1200 New Yorkers to estimate again the percentage of adults who smoke. a. Verify that a Normal model is a useful approximation for the binomial in this situation. b. In that December sample, how many smokers would it take to convince you that the percentage of NY adults who smoke had decreased significantly? Explain.
Question 91
Essay
A fast food restaurant just leased a new freezer and food fryer for three years. The service contract for the freezer offers unlimited repairs for a fee of $125 a year plus a $35 service charge for each repair needed. The restaurant's research suggested that during a given year 80% of these freezers need no repairs, 11% needed to be serviced once, 5% twice, 4% three times, and none required more than three repairs. -What are the mean and standard deviation of the restaurant's annual expense for the service contract?
Question 92
Essay
The owner of a pet store is trying to decide whether to discontinue selling specialty clothes for pets. She suspects that only 4% of the customers buy specialty clothes for their pets and thinks that she might be able to replace the clothes with more interesting and profitable items on the shelves. Before making a final decision she decides to keep track of the total number of customers for a day, and whether they purchase specialty clothes for their pet. -What is the probability that exactly 3 of the first 10 customers buy specialty clothes for their pet? Show work.
Question 93
Essay
Home ownership According to the Bureau of the Census, 68.0% of Americans owned their own homes in 2003. A local real estate office is curious as to whether a higher percentage of Americans own their own homes in its area. The office selects a random sample of 200 people in the area to estimate the percentage of those people that own their own homes. a. Verify that a Normal model is a useful approximation for the Binomial in this situation. b. What is the probability that at least 140 people will report owning their own home? c. Based on the sample, how many people would it take for you to be convinced that a higher percentage of Americans own their own homes in that area? Explain.
Question 94
Essay
The owner of a small convenience store is trying to decide whether to discontinue selling magazines. He suspects that only 5% of the customers buy a magazine and thinks that he might be able to use the display space to sell something more profitable. Before making a final decision he decides that for one day he'll keep track of the number of customers and whether or not they buy a magazine. -Surprised by a high number of customers who purchased magazines that day, the owner decided that his 5% estimate must have been too low. How many magazine sales would it have taken to convince you? Justify your answer.
Question 95
Essay
A young boy is fishing off the end of a dock. He estimates that for one out of every 15 times he casts his line, he gets at least a nibble from a curious fish. He is going to cast his line 50 times before he switches to toad hunting. -What is the probability that he will cast his line without success 20 times before finally succeeding the 21st time?
Question 96
Essay
Surprised by a high number of customers who purchased specialty pet clothing that day, the owner decided that her 4% estimate must have been too low. How many clothing sales would it have taken to convince you? Justify your answer.