If you suspect that your time-series data has a strong downward trend, you should set the beta smoothing constant at value fairly close to negative 1.0

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The beta smoothing constant in time-series analysis, such as in exponential smoothing models, should be between 0 and 1. It does not take negative values. Adjusting it closer to 1 would increase responsiveness to trend changes, not set a direction of the trend.

If You Suspect That Your Time-Series Data Has a Strong