One day Lacey had an intuitive hunch that she would hear from an old grade-school friend and sure enough, her friend e-mailed her. Lacey is now convinced that she is psychic. This isan example of the fallacy of positive instances.

Question

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The fallacy of positive instances is when a person concludes that they have a special power or ability based on a few instances that confirm their belief, while ignoring the many instances that do not. In this case, Lacey is assuming that her hunch was due to psychic abilities, without considering other possible explanations such as coincidence or subconscious cues that triggered her intuition.

One Day Lacey Had an Intuitive Hunch That She Would