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Introduction to Probability and Statistics Study Set 1
Quiz 4: Probability and Probability Distributions
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Question 81
Short Answer
Of the delegates at a convention, 60% attended the breakfast forum, 70% attended the dinner speech, and 40% attended both events. a. If a randomly selected delegate is known to have attended the dinner speech, what is the probability he or she also attended the breakfast forum? ______________ b. What is the probability that a randomly selected delegate either attended the breakfast forum, or attended the dinner speech, or attended both? ______________
Question 82
Essay
Applicants for a musical instrument manufacturer are asked to take a manual dexterity test. Past history has shown that only 25% of the applicants are able to finish the test in the allotted time. Two applicants are selected at random from the applicant pool. a. What is the probability that both applicants finish the test in the allotted time? ________________________________________________________ b. Justify your answer. ______________ c. What is the probability the first applicant completes the test in the allotted time but the second applicant does not? ______________ d. Justify your answer. ________________________________________________________
Question 83
Short Answer
A box contains one red, three blue and two green marbles. Two marbles are randomly selected without replacement. Let R = {The selected marble is red.} B = {The selected marble is blue.} G = {The selected marble is green.} C = {Both marbles selected are the same color.} D = {At least one of the marbles is blue.} a. Find P(C). ______________ b. Find P(D). ______________ c. Find
. ______________ d. Find
. ______________ e. Find P(D | C). ______________
Question 84
Short Answer
Four different kinds of radar systems, designed to detect or monitor the airspace around a major airport for high flying objects, low flying objects, runway traffic, and wind shear, operate independently. If each system has probability 0.90 of functioning correctly, find the probability at least one radar system will fail. ______________
Question 85
True/False
Relative frequency histograms are constructed for a sample of n measurements drawn from the population, while the probability histogram is constructed as a model for the entire population of measurements.
Question 86
True/False
The probability of an event A is equal to the sum of the probabilities of the simple events contained in A.
Question 87
Short Answer
Suppose that P(A) = 0.4, P(B) = 0.5, and that events A and B are mutually exclusive. a. Find
. ______________ b. Find
. ______________
Question 88
Short Answer
A university in Alabama has 1000 employees. Four hundred of the employees have at least 20 years of experience (event A), 100 are African American (event B), and 300 with a background in Microsoft Office 2003 (event C). Assume events A, B, and C are independent. a. What is the probability of finding an employee who meets all three of these criteria? ______________ b. What is the probability of finding an employee who meets at least two of the three criteria? ______________
Question 89
Short Answer
A student has decided to study at a local coffee shop. After some time, she gets hungry. There are two beverages available: tea and coffee and three bakery items: donuts, muffins and bagels. Define the following events: C = {student gets coffee to drink} T = {student gets tea to drink} D = {student gets a donut to eat} M = {student gets a muffin to eat} B = {student gets a bagel to eat} a. She decides she wants to get one item to eat and one item to drink. List the elements in the sample space S. ____________________________ b. If each combination is equally likely, what is the probability the student gets coffee and a bagel? ______________ c. If each combination is equally likely, what is the probability the student gets a muffin and coffee or tea? ______________ d. If each combination is equally likely, what is the probability the student does not get a donut? ______________
Question 90
Short Answer
A federal agency is trying to decide which of two waste management projects to investigate as the source of air pollution. In the past, projects of the first type were in violation of air quality standards with probability 0.3 on any given day, while projects of the second type were in violation of air quality standards with probability 0.25 on any given day. It is not possible for both projects to pollute the air in one day. Let A
i
, i = 1, 2, denote that project of type i was in violation of air quality standards. a. Find the probability of an air pollution problem caused by either the first project or the second project. ______________ b. If the first project is violating air quality standards, what is the probability the second project is also violating federal air quality standards? ______________
Question 91
Short Answer
At a local pet adoption center for dogs and cats, it is known that if a person adopts a pet, there is a 0.45 probability that it will be a cat and a 0.55 probability that it will be a dog. If a cat is adopted, the probability that it is female is 0.60. If a dog is adopted, the probability that it is female is 0.35. An adopted pet is selected at random and is found to be male. What is the probability that the adopted pet is a dog? ______________
Question 92
True/False
Combinations are distinguishable ordered arrangements of items all of which have been drawn from a given group of items.
Question 93
True/False
Probability is the tool that allows the statistician to use sample information to make inferences about or describe the population from which the sample was drawn.
Question 94
Essay
Lily frequents one of two fast food restaurants, choosing McDonald 25% of the time and Burger King 75% of the time. Regardless of where she goes, she buys French Fries on 60% of her visits. a. The next time Lily goes into a fast food restaurant, what is the probability that she goes to McDonald and orders a French Fries? ______________ b. Are the two events in the previous question independent? Explain. ______________ c. Explain. ________________________________________________________ d. If Lily goes to a fast food restaurant and orders French Fries, what is the probability that she is at Burger King? ______________ e. What is the probability that Lily goes to McDonald, or orders French Fries, or both? ______________
Question 95
Short Answer
A hand soap manufacturer introduced a new liquid, lotion-enriched, antibacterial soap and conducted an extensive consumer survey to help judge the success of the new product. The survey showed 40% of the consumers had seen an advertisement for the new soap, 20% had tried the new soap, and 15% had both seen an advertisement and tried the new soap. Let event A denote that the consumers had seen an ad for the new soap, and event B denote that the consumers had tried the new soap. a. What is the probability a randomly selected consumer had either seen an advertisement or tried the new soap? ______________ b. If a randomly chosen consumer has seen an advertisement for the new soap, what is the probability he or she has tried the product? ______________
Question 96
True/False
An experiment consists of tossing 4 unbiased coins simultaneously. The number of simple events in this experiment is 16.
Question 97
Short Answer
A laboratory test for a disease affecting 5% of the population is either positive, indicating the disease is present, or negative, indicating the disease is not present. When people having the disease are tested, 80% of the tests come back positive, and when people who don't have the disease are tested, 15% of the tests come back from the lab marked positive (a false positive result). What is the chance a randomly chosen person's test results would come back positive? ______________
Question 98
True/False
Statistics reasons from the population to the sample, whereas probability acts in reverse, moving from the sample to the population.
Question 99
True/False
An experiment is any activity that results in one and only one of several clearly defined possible outcomes but that does not allow us to tell in advance which of these will prevail in any particular instance.