Married for 12 years, Maria and Jose have six girls and no sons. Jose said, "I think we should try again because this next time we are bound to have a boy." Which kind of thinking error is Jose committing?
A) Neglect of base rate
B) hindsight bias
C) Conjunction fallacy
D) Gambler's fallacy

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

Jose is committing the gambler's fallacy, believing that previous outcomes will influence future outcomes in a way that is statistically unlikely or impossible. The chances of having a boy or girl are always 50/50 and are not influenced by previous outcomes.

Married for 12 Years, Maria and Jose Have Six Girls