The following times series shows the demand for a particular product over the past 10 months.
a. Use α = 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 11.
b. Compare the three-month moving average forecast with the exponential smoothing forecast using α = 0.2. Which appears to provide the better forecast based on MSE?

Question

The following times series shows the demand for a particular product over the past 10 months.
  a. Use α = 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 11.
b. Compare the three-month moving average forecast with the exponential smoothing forecast using α = 0.2. Which appears to provide the better forecast based on MSE?

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The Answer of The following times series shows the demand for a particular product over the past 10 months.
  a. Use α = 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 11.
b. Compare the three-month moving average forecast with the exponential smoothing forecast using α = 0.2. Which appears to provide the better forecast based on MSE?

The Following Times Series Shows the Demand for a Particular