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International Financial Management Study Set 1
Quiz 10: Measuring Exposure to Exchange Rate Fluctuations
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Question 21
Multiple Choice
Exhibit 10-2 Volusia, Inc. is a U.S.-based exporting firm that expects to receive payments denominated in both euros and Canadian dollars in one month. Based on today's spot rates, the dollar value of the funds to be received is estimated at $500,000 for the euros and $300,000 for the Canadian dollars. Based on data for the last fiF
t
y months, Volusia estimates the standard deviation of monthly percentage changes to be 8 percent for the euro and 3 percent for the Canadian dollar. The correlation coefficient between the euro and the Canadian dollar is 0.30. -Refer to Exhibit 10-2. Assuming an expected percentage change of 0 percent for each currency during the next month, what is the maximum one-month loss of the currency portfolio? Use a 95 percent confidence level and assume the monthly percentage changes for each currency are normally distributed.
Question 22
Multiple Choice
The maximum one-day loss computed for the value-at-risk (VaR) method does not depend on:
Question 23
Multiple Choice
Consider an MNC that is exposed to the Bulgarian lev (BGL) and the Romanian leu (ROL) ; 30 percent of the MNC's funds are lev and 70 percent are leu. The standard deviation of exchange movements is 10 percent for lev and 15 percent for leu. The correlation coefficient between movements in the value of the lev and the leu is .85. Based on this information, the standard deviation of this two-currency portfolio is approximately:
Question 24
Multiple Choice
Assume that Mill Corp., a U.S.-based MNC, has applied the following regression model to estimate the sensitivity of its cash flows to exchange rate movements:
P
C
F
t
=
a
0
+
a
1
e
t
+
μ
t
\mathrm{PCF}_{t}=a_{0}+a_{1} e_{t}+\mu t
PCF
t
=
a
0
+
a
1
e
t
+
μ
t
where the term on the leFt-hand side is the percentage change in inflation-adjusted cash flows measured in the firm's home currency over period t, and et is the percentage change in the exchange rate of the currency over period t. The regression model estimates a coefficient of a₁ of 2. This indicates that:
Question 25
Multiple Choice
The following regression model was run by a U.S.-based MNC to determine its degree of economic exposure as it relates to the Australian dollar and Sudanese dinar (SDD) :
where the term on the leFt-hand side is the percentage change in inflation-adjusted cash flows measured in the firm's home currency over period t, and et is the percentage change in the exchange rate of the currency over period t. The regression was run over two subperiods for each of the two currencies, with the following results: Based on these results, which of the following statements is probably not true?
Question 26
True/False
Because creditors may prefer that firms maintain low exposure to exchange rate risk, and because investors may prefer corporations to perform hedging for them, exchange rate risk is probably relevant.
Question 27
True/False
The transaction exposure of two inflow currencies is offset when the correlation between the currencies is high.
Question 28
Multiple Choice
In general, a firm that concentrates on local sales, has very little foreign competition, and obtains foreign supplies (denominated in foreign currencies) will likely ____ a(n) ____ local currency.