The difficulty of predicting events increases in proportion to the degree to which the base rate differs from

Question

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The difficulty of predicting events increases in proportion to the degree to which the base rate differs from 0. This is because the base rate represents the probability of an event occurring in the absence of any other information. If the base rate is 0, then the event is impossible to predict. If the base rate is 1, then the event is certain to occur. As the base rate gets closer to 0 or 1, the difficulty of predicting the event increases.

The Difficulty of Predicting Events Increases in Proportion to the Degree