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Bali Entity (BE), an Orchid Grower, Is Located on the Island

Question 27

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Bali Entity (BE), an orchid grower, is located on the island of Bali, Indonesia. On July 10, 20X7, BE entered into a contract with Weddings-For-You (WFY). The contract indicates that for $5,000, BE would supply WFY with 500 rare ghost orchids in three months from the contract date. However, due to a virus infesting orchids, the contract is contingent upon an independent count of ghost orchids in BE's greenhouses. If the number of viable orchids plants falls below 1,000 - a 25 percent chance - the contract price would jump to $7,000 for 500 ghost orchids. If the number of viable orchid plants falls below 800 - a 18 percent chance - the contract price would jump to $10,000. The contract would be called off if the number of viable orchid plants fell below 500 - a 2 percent chance.
a. What is the contract consideration under the expected value method?
b. What is the contract consideration under the most likely value method?

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