I believe that there is an $80 \%$ chance that I will get the promotion. The day before my supervisor tells me that he has "valuable" information about the chance that I get promoted. He tells me that there is an $80 \%$ chance that I will get the promotion. What type of forecast is this to me?
A) Confirming forecast.
B) Disconfirming forecast.
C) A precise forecast.
D) An incorrect forecast.

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The forecast from the supervisor confirms the individual's own belief or prediction about the promotion, hence it is a confirming forecast.

I Believe That There Is An 80%80 \%80% Chance That I Will Get the Promotion

I Believe That There Is An $80 \%$ Chance That I Will Get the Promotion