If I had asked all of you on day 1 what grade you expect to earn in this class and compared it to the actual grade you receive at the end of the semester, I would expect to find a large discrepancy. This is due to what fallacy in thinking?
A) the confirmation bias
B) the priming bias
C) the framing bias
D) the overconfidence bias

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The overconfidence bias refers to the tendency for people to overestimate their abilities or the accuracy of their predictions, leading to a discrepancy between expected and actual outcomes.

If I Had Asked All of You on Day 1