Being careful not to make the conjunction fallacy,indicate which of the following is most probable
A) Ralph is an alcoholic; Ralph wins a major world tennis tournament.
B) Ralph is an alcoholic; Ralph enters a treatment program; Ralph wins a major world tennis tournament.
C) Ralph is an alcoholic; Ralph enters a treatment program; Ralph has been sober for a year; Ralph wins a major world tennis tournament.
D) Ralph is an alcoholic; Ralph enters a treatment program; Ralph has been sober for a year; Ralph practices tennis 50 hours a week; Ralph wins a major world tennis tournament.
Correct Answer:
Verified
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