Audrey sees someone sitting in a fast-food restaurant who looks like the President of the United States. Before she goes over to ask for an autograph and offer her advice on the world situation, she should consider the base-rate information. That is, she should consider

Question

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Considering how many other people look like the president is important because the probability of someone actually being the president is very low, even in a fast-food restaurant in Washington D.C. Additionally, it is important to note that mistaking someone else for the president could be embarrassing or potentially dangerous.

Audrey Sees Someone Sitting in a Fast-Food Restaurant Who Looks