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Instruction 14-19
Business Closures in Perth from 2005 to 2010

Question 149

Short Answer

Instruction 14-19
Business closures in Perth from 2005 to 2010 were:
200510200511200713200819200924201035\begin{array} { | l | l | } \hline 2005 & 10 \\\hline 2005 & 11 \\\hline 2007 & 13 \\\hline 2008 & 19 \\\hline 2009 & 24 \\\hline 2010 & 35 \\\hline\end{array} Microsoft Excel was used to fit both first-order and second-order autoregressive models, resulting in the following partial outputs:
SIMMARY OUTIPU - Second-Order Mode
 Coefficients  Intercept 5.77 X Variable 1 0.80 X Variable 2 1.14\begin{array}{ll}&\text { Coefficients }\\\text { Intercept } & -5.77 \\\text { X Variable 1 } & 0.80 \\\text { X Variable 2 } & 1.14\end{array}

SIMMARY OUTPUT - Fist-Order Model
 Coefficients  Intercept 4.16 X Variable 1 1.59\begin{array}{ll}&\text { Coefficients }\\\text { Intercept } & -4.16 \\\text { X Variable 1 } & 1.59\end{array}
-Referring to Instruction 14-19,the fitted values for the first-order autoregressive model are _______,_______,_______,_______ and _______.

Correct Answer:

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11.74,13.3...

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