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Exhibit 18

Question 89

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Exhibit 18.8.Quarterly sales of a department store for the last 7 years are given in the following table. Exhibit 18.8.Quarterly sales of a department store for the last 7 years are given in the following table.     The Excel scatterplot shown above indicates that the quarterly sales have an increasing trend and seasonality.Therefore,the linear regression model,Sales = β<sub>0</sub> + β<sub>1</sub>Qtr1 + β<sub>2</sub>Qtr2 + β<sub>3</sub>Qtr3 + β<sub>4</sub>t + ε with three seasonal dummy variables Qtr1,Qtr2 and Qtr3,and the decomposition method are proposed to make sales forecasts.For the regression model,the following Excel partial output is available.   Refer to Exhibit 18.8.Using the regression equation for the linear trend model with seasonal dummy variables,what can be said about the sales in Quarter 4 compared to the sales in Quarter 1? Exhibit 18.8.Quarterly sales of a department store for the last 7 years are given in the following table.     The Excel scatterplot shown above indicates that the quarterly sales have an increasing trend and seasonality.Therefore,the linear regression model,Sales = β<sub>0</sub> + β<sub>1</sub>Qtr1 + β<sub>2</sub>Qtr2 + β<sub>3</sub>Qtr3 + β<sub>4</sub>t + ε with three seasonal dummy variables Qtr1,Qtr2 and Qtr3,and the decomposition method are proposed to make sales forecasts.For the regression model,the following Excel partial output is available.   Refer to Exhibit 18.8.Using the regression equation for the linear trend model with seasonal dummy variables,what can be said about the sales in Quarter 4 compared to the sales in Quarter 1? The Excel scatterplot shown above indicates that the quarterly sales have an increasing trend and seasonality.Therefore,the linear regression model,Sales = β0 + β1Qtr1 + β2Qtr2 + β3Qtr3 + β4t + ε with three seasonal dummy variables Qtr1,Qtr2 and Qtr3,and the decomposition method are proposed to make sales forecasts.For the regression model,the following Excel partial output is available. Exhibit 18.8.Quarterly sales of a department store for the last 7 years are given in the following table.     The Excel scatterplot shown above indicates that the quarterly sales have an increasing trend and seasonality.Therefore,the linear regression model,Sales = β<sub>0</sub> + β<sub>1</sub>Qtr1 + β<sub>2</sub>Qtr2 + β<sub>3</sub>Qtr3 + β<sub>4</sub>t + ε with three seasonal dummy variables Qtr1,Qtr2 and Qtr3,and the decomposition method are proposed to make sales forecasts.For the regression model,the following Excel partial output is available.   Refer to Exhibit 18.8.Using the regression equation for the linear trend model with seasonal dummy variables,what can be said about the sales in Quarter 4 compared to the sales in Quarter 1? Refer to Exhibit 18.8.Using the regression equation for the linear trend model with seasonal dummy variables,what can be said about the sales in Quarter 4 compared to the sales in Quarter 1?

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