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Modern Portfolio Theory
Quiz 4: Security Analysis and Portfolio Theory
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Question 81
Essay
Leland,O'Brien and Rubinstein (who invented portfolio insurance)came up with a product called "supershares." The product works as follows.It starts with two conventional funds: an index fund owning stocks in the S&P 500 and a money-market fund. The index fund is divided into two securities.One of those securities is called a "dividend share" and gives the holder the right to all dividends paid during three years and all price appreciation up to 25% during those three years.The other security is called an "appreciation share" and gives the holder the right to all price appreciation above 25% during those three years. The money-market fund is also divided into two securities.One of those securities is called a "money market income supershare" and the other security is called a "protection supershare".The money market supershare gives the holder the right to all interest income during three years.At the end of those three years,the holder may also get back some or all of the principal value,depending on how well the stock market performs.For every 1% that the S&P 500 has fallen below its current level,the principal value payable to the holder of a money market supershare is reduced by 1% and is instead paid to the holder of a protection supershare (which also has a three-year lifetime). Assume that the current level of the S&P 500 index is 277,that the standard deviation of the index is 25%,and that the average dividend yield on the index is 4%.Also assume that the current six-month T-bill rate is 8% (which is also the rate on the money-market account)and that money-market fund securities are in units of $100. (Hints: Remember that the value of the dividend share plus the appreciation share equals the current level of the S&P 500 index and that the value of the money market income supershare plus the protection supershare equals the value of the money market fund.Also,you can adjust for dividends in the Black-Scholes formula by subtracting the dividend yield from the riskless rate and then using this adjusted rate instead of the riskless rate in the formula.) a. Estimate the value of the appreciation share. b. Estimate the value of the dividend share. c. Estimate the value of the protection supershare. d. Estimate the value of the money market income supershare.
Question 82
Essay
Consider the following data for a stock and a call option on that stock: S
0
= $50,S
1
= $75 or $100,E = $50,and r = 1.10.Derive the hedge ratio (
)and the price of the call option.
Question 83
Essay
Assume that it is now December 2002.You are given the following information: December 2003 gold futures contract price = 515.60/troy oz.; spot gold price = 481.40/ troy oz.; annualized interest rate = 6%; annualized carrying cost of gold = 2%. a. The above information presents an arbitrage opportunity. Describe what you would have to do now to set up the arbitrage. b. What would you have to do in December to unwind the position in part a? What is the arbitrage profit?
Question 84
Essay
You have just learned through the grapevine that Pfizer (currently at $50.625 per share)may be a takeover candidate at $65 per share.You would like to speculate on the rumor,but you are worried that the stock will drop significantly if the rumor is false.Therefore,you have decided to use options to exploit this information.You are given the following option data for today,May 15th: calls puts
a. Set up an option position that will best exploit the information you have, assuming that the takeover will happen by September 16 (the expiration day of the September options). b. Assume now that the annualized standard deviation of Pfizer's stock price is 0.40 and that the six-month T-bill rate is 6%. Furthermore, assume that Pfizer pays a quarterly dividend of 50 cents and that the dividends are paid in April, July, October and January. What would your Black-Scholes estimates be for the options in the position that you have described in part a? c. If the beta of Pfizer stock is 1.0, what is the beta of the position that you have set up in part a? d. What are the deltas of the options that you have chosen for your position?
Question 85
Essay
Assume that one can purchase gold bars or 6-month futures on gold bars. a. Using the law of one price, derive the relationship between the spot price of gold and the futures contract price. b. Assume that the futures are underpriced relative to the contract price just derived. What action should an investor take?
Question 86
Essay
You are a portfolio manager who has just discovered the possibilities of stock-index futures.Assume that today is January 12. a. Assume that you have the resources to buy and hold the stocks in the S&P 500. The current level of S&P 500 index is 258.90, the June S&P 500 futures contract is selling for 260.15, the annualized rate on the T-bill expiring on the expiration date of the futures contract is 6%, and the annualized dividend yield on S&P 500 stocks is 3%. Assume that dividends are paid out continuously over the year. Is there a potential for arbitrage, and, if so, how would you go about setting up the arbitrage? b. Assume now that you are known for your stock selection skills. You have 10,000 shares of Texacola (now selling for 38) in your portfolio, and you are worried about the direction of the market until June. You would like to protect yourself against market risk by using the December S&P 500 futures contract (which is currently at 260.15). If Texacola's beta is 0.8, how would you go about creating this protection?
Question 87
Essay
You are convinced that the next three months are going to be boom or bust months for IBM.Foreseeing a major increase or decrease in the stock price,you set up a position in options where you buy July 120 calls at $8.75 and you buy July 120 puts at $8.25.IBM is currently selling for $119. a. Draw the payoff diagram of cash flows on this position. b. What are the break-even points on the upside and downside of this position? c. Now assume that IBM has a variance of 0.08. Using the Black-Scholes model to value these two options, do you still think that you should take the above position? Why or why not? (Today is December 21, 2002; the options expire on July 18, 2003; the annualized riskless rate is 6%; ignore dividends.) d. What is the implied variance in the July 120 call?
Question 88
Essay
Consider a portfolio consisting of long positions in both 6-month Treasury bills and call options.What is the payoff pattern (potential cash flows)and what is this portfolio equivalent to? (Hint: Use put-call parity.)