Self-perception theory (Bem) proposes that we can explain the same changes that dissonance theory predicts without an internal state of discomfort. Therefore, what guides our explanations of our behavior is:

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According to self-perception theory, the behavior itself guides our explanations of our behavior, rather than an internal state of discomfort or external factors such as social norms or reinforcement.

Self-Perception Theory (Bem) Proposes That We Can Explain the Same