After using deductive reasoning, you determine that if the probability of team A beating team B is 50% then the probability of team A beating team B four times in a row is about 6%. If after observing team A beating team B four times in a row you decide to reject the assumption that team A's likelihood of beating team B is 50%, what is the degree of support for this conclusion?
A) 6%
B) 3%
C) 94%
D) 50%

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The fact that team A beat team B four times in a row with a probability of 6% under the assumption that team A has a 50% chance of winning supports the conclusion that team A's actual probability of winning is different from 50%. Since the probability of team A winning four times in a row is small under the assumption of a 50% probability of winning, observing this result indicates that the assumption is unlikely to be true. Therefore, there is a high degree of support (94%) for rejecting the assumption that team A's likelihood of beating team B is 50%.

After Using Deductive Reasoning, You Determine That If the Probability