In one study, people who make their living predicting world events (government officials, foreign policy professors, newspaper columnists, etc.) were asked to predict U.S. and world politics over the next several years. Those who were most accurate were more likely than others to

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

Those who were most accurate in their predictions tended to have reservations about the accuracy of their predictions. This suggests a level of humility and openness to complexity, which can lead to more nuanced and careful analysis, improving prediction accuracy.

In One Study, People Who Make Their Living Predicting World