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Statistics Learning from Data
Quiz 1: Collecting Data in Reasonable Ways
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Question 41
Essay
Three methods for random sampling are: (a) simple random sampling, (b) stratified random sampling, and (c) cluster sampling. In a few sentences, discuss the similarities and differences among these sampling methods. Specifically, what sampling circumstances would lead you to choose each of these methods?
Question 42
Essay
In evaluating an experiment, how would you determine if a variable is an explanatory variable or an extraneous variable?
Question 43
Essay
Suppose that two experiments were conducted to compare the effects of two new insect repellants. In Experiment X, a simple random sample was taken from the population of River City, and the citizens were randomly assigned to repellant A and repellant B. In Experiment Y, a stratified random sample was taken from the population of River City, and the citizens were randomly assigned to repellant A and repellant B. (River City has 4 geographic areas of town, the NE, NW, SE, and SW quadrants; 100 people from each quadrant were sampled for Experiment B.)The results of the experiments were the same: fewer insects landed on the arms that had been treated with insect repellant A. (a)For each experiment, X and Y, discuss whether one can legitimately infer from each of these experiments that repellant A is better than B? Why or why not? (b)For each experiment, X and Y, discuss whether one can legitimately generalize to the population of River City from each of these experiments? Why or why not?
Question 44
Essay
The likelihood that an animal will successfully avoid a predator's attack should increase if the presence of the predator is detected. Animals are, of course, known to warn others of a predator's presence--the well-known prairie-dog warning call is an example. Some aquatic animals are known to send chemical signals. For example the crayfish and Iowa darter may excrete ammonium from their gills or possibly in their urine during periods of heightened metabolic activity. In an experiment to see if red-legged frogs (Rana aurora) may send or respond to chemical signals, specimens in Oregon were collected as embryos and raised in an aquarium. As tadpoles they were separated into two pairs of aquaria. The "upper tank" in each pair was connected to the "lower tank" to create a (very!) small river. A wooden heron model was placed in one of the upper tanks and moved around for 30 seconds to simulate a predator attack. Both the sender (upper tank) and receiver (lower tank) animals were monitored for added activity (increased movement) indicating antipredator behavior. (a)What is the explanatory variable (factor) for this experiment? (b)What is the response variable for this experiment? (c)During the course of the experiment the investigators were very careful with the wooden heron model not to come in contact with the glass of the aquaria or make noise in any other way. If they had been unsuccessful and their wooden heron made significant amounts of noise, how would that affect the interpretation of the results?
Question 45
Multiple Choice
Two hundred people who live in San Francisco volunteered to participate in a statistical study. The volunteers were divided into two groups by age, with people under 40 years old in group 1 and people 40 years of age and older in group 2. Those in group 1 were asked to go in for sports once a day for 1 month. Those in group 2 were asked not to go in for sports for 1 month. At the end of the month, progress in weight reduction was significantly higher for group 1 than for group 2. From the resulting data, the researchers concluded that daily sports exercises help every San Francisco resident lose weight faster. Based on the study design, do you think that the conclusions are reasonable?
Question 46
Multiple Choice
Fifty-five people volunteered to participate in a statistical study. For each volunteer, a coin was tossed. If the coin landed tails up, the volunteer was assigned to group 1. If the coin landed heads up, the volunteer was assigned to group 2. Those in group 1 were asked to eat carrot salad daily for 1 year. Those in group 2 were asked not to eat carrot salad for 1 year. At the end of the year, the progress in improving vision was significantly higher for group 1 than for group 2. Did the study use a random selection from some population? Did the study use random assignment to experimental groups?
Question 47
Essay
In competitive sports, video recorders have been used more frequently in recent years. The idea behind the recorder is that coaches can replay training sessions for more effective feedback to the athlete. Some people believe video recording may make the athletes more nervous and actually decrease their performance. You have been asked to design an experiment to address this issue for competitive high school tennis players. You have decided to use the accuracy of tennis serves as your response variable, and the number of successful serves out of 100 as your performance measure. The subjects for your experiment are 60 high school male competitive tennis players of varying ability who have volunteered for the experiment. (a)Describe the treatments in your experiment (b)One possible confounding variable is the experience levels of the players. Explain how you would control this variable? (c)Can the results of this experiment be generalized to all male tennis players? Why or why not?
Question 48
Essay
One of the tasks of wildlife biologists is to estimate bird populations. One method for doing this is to walk a "transect," typically a long randomly selected rectangle, and count the number of particular species that are seen. During hunting season the biologists wear brightly colored clothes as a protective measure. A theory, known as the "species-confidence hypothesis," predicts that birds may react to these brightly colored clothes. A robin, for example, when confronted with a biologist wearing an orange color may be less afraid than if the biologist were wearing a brown color. The idea is that the orange color gives the robin some "confidence" that the biologist is another (really big!) bird. This is a difficulty because a robin that is less afraid of the biologist may be easier to see and therefore "count" because the robin lets the biologist get closer. This would result in too high an estimate of the robin population. To test this theory a biologist performed a study in her area, wearing a bright orange vest or a brown vest while working. After training herself to accurately estimate distances she indicated on her notes how close the robins would let her get before they flew away (the "approach distance"), using this as a measure of their "confidence." She randomly selected her starting points in each trip through the transects and also carefully noted the weather conditions, specifically the wind speed. (a)What is the explanatory variable (factor) for this experiment? (b)What is the response variable for this experiment? (c)After completing the study the biologist was examining her results and noticed that on those days she wore the brightly-colored vest the wind tended to be of greater velocity. How does this information affect the interpretation of the results of the experiment?
Question 49
Multiple Choice
One hundred fifty people who live in Houston volunteered to participate in a statistical study. The volunteers were divided into two groups, with people who have children in group 1 and people who do not have children in group 2. Those in group 1 were asked to eat a lemon slice daily for five months. Those in group 2 were asked not to eat a lemon for five months. At the end of the study it was found that on average, people in group 1 were sick less often than those in group 2. Did the study use a random selection from some population? Did the study use random assignment to experimental groups?
Question 50
Multiple Choice
Suppose you want to know how many times per month people of Portland go shopping. You interviewed fifty women from Portland selected randomly. Is the sample likely to be representative of the population of interest?